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Quantitative Research Report: The Magnetism of Fair Value
Subject: Statistical Significance of the Volume Point of Control (vPOC) in the S&P 500
Author: Cephu Research Lab
Date: February 2026
Data Horizon: Rolling 6-Month Window
ES vs SPX Basis Analysis
A positive basis of 20.45 points confirms a healthy "Contango" structure. This means the market is pricing in standard interest and dividend expectations without signs of speculative fever or institutional panic. The trend remains statistically stable.
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